WEKO3
インデックスリンク
アイテム
Moses: Planning for the Next Generation
http://hdl.handle.net/2297/33110
http://hdl.handle.net/2297/33110c0d15187-310b-40e5-83c2-08fd8d78a38d
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
|---|---|---|
IRSPSD-1-1-19-30.pdf (304.6 kB)
|
|
| Item type | 学術雑誌論文 / Journal Article(1) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公開日 | 2017-10-05 | |||||
| タイトル | ||||||
| タイトル | Moses: Planning for the Next Generation | |||||
| 言語 | ||||||
| 言語 | eng | |||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||
| 資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||
| 資源タイプ | journal article | |||||
| 著者 |
Wu, Belinda
× Wu, Belinda× Birkin, Mark |
|||||
| 書誌情報 |
International Review for Spatial Planning and Sustainable Development 巻 1, 号 1, p. 17-28, 発行日 2013-01-01 |
|||||
| ISSN | ||||||
| 収録物識別子タイプ | ISSN | |||||
| 収録物識別子 | 2187-3666 | |||||
| DOI | ||||||
| 関連タイプ | isIdenticalTo | |||||
| 識別子タイプ | DOI | |||||
| 関連識別子 | https://doi.org/10.14246/irspsd.1.1_17 | |||||
| 出版者 | ||||||
| 出版者 | SPSD Press | |||||
| 抄録 | ||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||
| 内容記述 | The study of population changes has always been at the centre of public policy and planning. People’s movements, interactions and behaviors will inevitably have an important impact on the society and environment that they are living in. At the same time, such changes will also lead to an evolution of the population itself over time. Advances in technologies and new tools often bring new visions to such studies. To facilitate strategic decision making and to plan developments for a more sustainable future, it is vital to study and understand the changes in our population. This paper introduces Moses, an individual based model that simulates the UK population through discrete demographic processes at a fine spatial scale for 30 years from 2001 to 2031. The modeling method is grounded in a dynamic spatial MicroSimulation Model (MSM), but also introduced Agent Based Model (ABM) insights to strengthen the modeling of movements, interactions and behaviors of distinctively different sub-populations. The MSM can not only produce projections of baseline population with rich information on individuals to facilitate various studies, it can be also useful in providing an assessment of multiple scenarios for different planning applications. In this paper, we will demonstrate three spatial planning applications in the areas of residential land use planning, public health planning and public transport planning. Whilst the demonstrations are deliberately made simple, the contribution of intelligent agents in the modeling of interaction, behavior and the impact of personal histories on demographic changes is clearly shown. Within this framework, it enables researchers to effectively model the heterogeneous decision making units on a large scale, as well as provide the flexibility to introduce different modeling techniques to strengthen various aspects of the model. | |||||
| 権利 | ||||||
| 権利情報 | ©2010 SPSD Press. | |||||
| 著者版フラグ | ||||||
| 出版タイプ | VoR | |||||
| 出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||
