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大規模アンサンブル気候予測データを用いた爆弾低気圧の将来変化
https://doi.org/10.24517/00050484
https://doi.org/10.24517/000504841a32b5ac-0d8f-4717-a6b6-b057fad33178
名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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TE-PR-NINOMIYA-J-175.pdf (2.3 MB)
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Item type | 学術雑誌論文 / Journal Article(1) | |||||
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公開日 | 2018-04-06 | |||||
タイトル | ||||||
タイトル | 大規模アンサンブル気候予測データを用いた爆弾低気圧の将来変化 | |||||
タイトル | ||||||
言語 | en | |||||
タイトル | Future change of winter explosive cyclone using large ensemble climate prediction data | |||||
言語 | ||||||
言語 | jpn | |||||
資源タイプ | ||||||
資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||
資源タイプ | journal article | |||||
ID登録 | ||||||
ID登録 | 10.24517/00050484 | |||||
ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||
著者 |
高, 裕也
× 高, 裕也× 二宮, 順一× 森, 信人 |
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著者別表示 |
Taka, Yuya
× Taka, Yuya× Ninomiya, Junichi× Mori, Nobuhito |
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提供者所属 | ||||||
内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||
内容記述 | 金沢大学理工研究域環境デザイン学系 | |||||
書誌情報 |
土木学会論文集B1(水工学) en : Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering) 巻 74, 号 4, p. I_175-I_180, 発行日 2018 |
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ISSN | ||||||
収録物識別子タイプ | ISSN | |||||
収録物識別子 | 2185-467X | |||||
出版者 | ||||||
出版者 | 土木学会 = Japan Society of Civil Engineers | |||||
抄録 | ||||||
内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||
内容記述 | In this study, we evaluated the impact of climate change on explosive cyclone using the large ensembleclimate prediction data (d4PDF) of present climate experiment 3,000 years (60 years × 50 members) and future climate experiment 5,400 years (60 years × 90 members). Explosive cyclones were extracted from sea level pressure and examined. Although the trend of increasing explosive cyclone didn’t have statistical significance from the difference between present- and future-climate around Japan, the strongest explosive cyclone intensified in future-climate, and future change was estimated about -12 hPa. In addition, as a result of analyzing the explosive cyclone going through the coastal area of Japan, the proportion of strong explosive cyclone like the typhoon had increasing trend. 現在気候実験3,000年(60年×50メンバ)および将来気候実験5,400年(60年×90メンバ)の大規模アンサンブル気候予測データ(d4PDF)を用いて,日本海沿岸における低頻度気象災害要因の一つである爆弾低気圧に対する気候変動の影響評価を実施した.現在気候および将来気候からの爆弾低気圧抽出結果から,発生個数にはほとんど将来変化はないが,最低中心気圧の強度は将来的に増加する傾向があることがわかった.また,日本沿岸域に被害を及ぼす可能性がある爆弾低気圧について解析した結果,全体に占める台風並みに発達する爆弾低気圧の割合が増加し,特に中心気圧の強度も増加する傾向を示した. | |||||
権利 | ||||||
権利情報 | Copyright © 土木学会 Japan Society of Civil Engineers | |||||
著者版フラグ | ||||||
出版タイプ | VoR | |||||
出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||
関連URI | ||||||
識別子タイプ | URI | |||||
関連識別子 | http://www.jsce.or.jp/ | |||||
関連名称 | http://www.jsce.or.jp/ | |||||
関連URI | ||||||
識別子タイプ | URI | |||||
関連識別子 | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/browse/jscejhe/-char/ja | |||||
関連名称 | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/browse/jscejhe/-char/ja |